1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 1 check on output of basic teen data Variable Label N Mean Std Dev Minimum Maximum ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TEMP86 teenage epop rate, 1986 51 0.4702157 0.0876247 0.2850000 0.6310000 TEMP87 51 0.4730588 0.0863116 0.2610000 0.6530000 TEMP88 51 0.4824902 0.0832215 0.2740000 0.6690000 TEMP89 51 0.4891373 0.0765700 0.3130000 0.6200000 TEMP90 51 0.4780000 0.0786183 0.3030000 0.6210000 TEMP91 50 0.4514800 0.0808474 0.2930000 0.6410000 TEMP92 teenage epop rate, 1992 50 0.4411000 0.0812352 0.2600000 0.5940000 EMP86 overall epop rate 1986 51 0.6168039 0.0439035 0.4500000 0.7000000 EMP87 51 0.6235686 0.0437992 0.4610000 0.7130000 EMP88 51 0.6310196 0.0453478 0.4620000 0.7090000 EMP89 51 0.6375686 0.0407619 0.4900000 0.7030000 EMP90 51 0.6360784 0.0394294 0.4970000 0.6990000 EMP91 51 0.6270000 0.0406959 0.4950000 0.6950000 EMP92 overall epop rate 1992 50 0.6273600 0.0415956 0.4830000 0.6890000 UR86 unempl. rate 1986 51 0.0696863 0.0222984 0.0280000 0.1310000 UR87 51 0.0626471 0.0214419 0.0250000 0.1200000 UR88 51 0.0547843 0.0189117 0.0240000 0.1090000 UR89 51 0.0514902 0.0133377 0.0260000 0.0860000 UR90 51 0.0538627 0.0112748 0.0220000 0.0830000 UR91 51 0.0639216 0.0153217 0.0270000 0.1050000 UR92 unempl. rate 1992 50 0.0676600 0.0159125 0.0300000 0.1130000 SUBMIN89 frac wage <$3.35/hr, 1989 51 0.0792402 0.0404804 0 0.2105210 ATMIN89 fract wage = $3.35, 1989 51 0.1269990 0.0950063 0 0.3520450 AFFECT1 fract wage $3.35-3.799, 1989 51 0.2914323 0.1672063 0 0.5830180 AFFECT2 fract wage $3.35-4.249, 1989 51 0.4585306 0.1854936 0.0697960 0.7288350 SUBMIN92 frac wage <$4.25/hr, 1992 51 0.1127762 0.0384561 0.0403580 0.2474620 ATMIN92 fract wage = $4.25, 1992 51 0.1815252 0.0966712 0 0.4027000 LWAGE89 mean log wage teens 1989 51 1.4529567 0.1244175 1.2563600 1.7837600 LWAGE92 mean log wage teens 1992 51 1.5766320 0.0760858 1.4234300 1.7729100 STD89 std dev of log teen wage, 1989 51 0.3081852 0.0427277 0.2202290 0.3940600 STD92 std dev of log teen wage, 1992 51 0.2834041 0.0448148 0.1877550 0.3748670 LWMEN89 mean log wage men age25+, 1989 51 2.3602054 0.1202007 2.1392330 2.6761260 LWMEN92 mean log wage men age25+, 1992 51 2.4523078 0.1156587 2.2404100 2.7808030 N_89 # teens in cps extract, 1989 51 483.1176471 366.2234644 166.0000000 1381.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 2 check on output of basic teen data Correlation Analysis 5 'VAR' Variables: DTEMP2 DWAGE2 DEMP2 DUR2 DWMEN Simple Statistics Variable N Mean Std Dev Sum Minimum Maximum DTEMP2 50 -0.051000 0.044327 -2.550000 -0.171000 0.023000 DWAGE2 51 0.123675 0.076163 6.307440 -0.032500 0.351450 DEMP2 50 -0.009800 0.016678 -0.490000 -0.043000 0.030000 DUR2 50 0.016140 0.014283 0.807000 -0.011000 0.048000 DWMEN 51 0.092102 0.025472 4.697221 0.021611 0.153065 Pearson Correlation Coefficients / Prob > |R| under Ho: Rho=0 / Number of Observations DTEMP2 DWAGE2 DEMP2 DUR2 DWMEN DTEMP2 1.00000 0.35825 0.72345 -0.58148 0.05320 0.0 0.0106 0.0001 0.0001 0.7137 50 50 50 50 50 DWAGE2 0.35825 1.00000 0.58660 -0.57766 0.17415 0.0106 0.0 0.0001 0.0001 0.2216 50 51 50 50 51 DEMP2 0.72345 0.58660 1.00000 -0.74358 0.09303 0.0001 0.0001 0.0 0.0001 0.5205 50 50 50 50 50 DUR2 -0.58148 -0.57766 -0.74358 1.00000 -0.10132 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0 0.4839 50 50 50 50 50 DWMEN 0.05320 0.17415 0.09303 -0.10132 1.00000 0.7137 0.2216 0.5205 0.4839 0.0 50 51 50 50 51 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 3 check on output of basic teen data OBS STATE FIPS TEMP89 TEMP90 TEMP91 TEMP92 EMP89 EMP90 EMP91 EMP92 AFFECT1 AFFECT2 1 MAINE 11 0.494 0.502 0.477 0.437 0.636 0.641 0.628 0.637 0.10707 0.25899 2 NEW HAMP 12 0.551 0.556 0.518 0.449 0.703 0.699 0.680 0.666 0.02744 0.16000 3 VERMONT 13 0.566 0.521 0.523 0.484 0.688 0.673 0.655 0.664 0.16451 0.32106 4 MASSACHU 14 0.527 0.486 0.454 0.426 0.661 0.644 0.616 0.618 0.04616 0.15050 5 RHODE IS 15 0.620 0.581 0.494 0.511 0.655 0.624 0.608 0.621 0.03667 0.13110 6 CONNECTI 16 0.480 0.498 0.519 0.503 0.675 0.676 0.669 0.660 0.00966 0.06980 7 NEW YORK 21 0.395 0.373 0.313 0.275 0.597 0.596 0.577 0.565 0.19710 0.32822 8 NEW JERS 22 0.428 0.403 0.365 0.349 0.634 0.638 0.623 0.608 0.09224 0.19360 9 PENNSYLV 23 0.480 0.471 0.455 0.431 0.597 0.595 0.587 0.588 0.26475 0.43064 10 OHIO 31 0.501 0.482 0.434 0.438 0.620 0.619 0.613 0.611 0.35339 0.54756 11 INDIANA 32 0.606 0.525 0.442 0.435 0.651 0.632 0.617 0.620 0.27684 0.47807 12 ILLINOIS 33 0.500 0.465 0.435 0.427 0.640 0.638 0.628 0.631 0.29797 0.45743 13 MICHIGAN 34 0.510 0.486 0.453 0.468 0.611 0.605 0.588 0.597 0.31987 0.48727 14 WISCONSI 35 0.599 0.621 0.578 0.578 0.681 0.671 0.662 0.677 0.35536 0.57630 15 MINNESOT 41 0.604 0.611 0.621 0.594 0.686 0.695 0.695 0.689 0.15473 0.39092 16 IOWA 42 0.561 0.543 0.569 0.561 0.672 0.664 0.669 0.682 0.36692 0.62343 17 MISSOURI 43 0.519 0.545 0.479 0.505 0.632 0.633 0.638 0.644 0.38244 0.56874 18 NORTH DA 44 0.540 0.552 0.546 0.541 0.662 0.661 0.650 0.644 0.48861 0.68760 19 SOUTH DA 45 0.560 0.565 0.604 0.568 0.667 0.668 0.672 0.673 0.51382 0.65766 20 NEBRASKA 46 0.587 0.591 0.641 0.569 0.659 0.686 0.694 0.689 0.37855 0.56860 21 KANSAS 47 0.553 0.565 0.540 0.550 0.665 0.668 0.663 0.680 0.33256 0.53264 22 DELAWARE 51 0.587 0.541 0.442 0.500 0.686 0.663 0.648 0.655 0.13912 0.28891 23 MARYLAND 52 0.516 0.465 0.401 0.382 0.683 0.671 0.660 0.664 0.16517 0.34499 24 DC 53 0.341 0.348 . . 0.658 0.630 0.606 . 0.11226 0.22044 25 VIRGINIA 54 0.464 0.415 0.390 0.396 0.665 0.664 0.667 0.664 0.19888 0.33169 26 WEST VIR 55 0.313 0.323 0.307 0.271 0.490 0.497 0.495 0.483 0.58302 0.70301 27 NORTH CA 56 0.505 0.465 0.422 0.433 0.663 0.653 0.641 0.640 0.30104 0.49196 28 SOUTH CA 57 0.431 0.398 0.380 0.399 0.629 0.632 0.621 0.623 0.41887 0.57727 29 GEORGIA 58 0.477 0.469 0.335 0.353 0.642 0.639 0.623 0.615 0.30475 0.41040 30 FLORIDA 59 0.472 0.450 0.394 0.382 0.591 0.592 0.576 0.568 0.25563 0.42762 31 KENTUCKY 61 0.436 0.437 0.396 0.404 0.584 0.594 0.575 0.576 0.51388 0.72884 32 TENNESSE 62 0.434 0.418 0.431 0.400 0.599 0.601 0.591 0.594 0.48006 0.65090 33 ALABAMA 63 0.394 0.378 0.358 0.377 0.577 0.571 0.566 0.575 0.32685 0.50152 34 MISSISSI 64 0.319 0.303 0.293 0.260 0.568 0.576 0.566 0.566 0.52400 0.66651 35 ARKANSAS 71 0.415 0.478 0.437 0.432 0.588 0.588 0.574 0.589 0.51574 0.68526 36 LOUISIAN 72 0.334 0.321 0.387 0.328 0.554 0.559 0.573 0.569 0.47927 0.64621 37 OKLAHOMA 73 0.426 0.438 0.446 0.412 0.603 0.608 0.591 0.600 0.48035 0.66465 38 TEXAS 74 0.426 0.389 0.401 0.407 0.643 0.640 0.638 0.637 0.40141 0.57932 39 MONTANA 81 0.504 0.509 0.464 0.479 0.639 0.634 0.627 0.640 0.54628 0.66994 40 IDAHO 82 0.538 0.530 0.486 0.509 0.639 0.636 0.635 0.642 0.31980 0.47995 41 WYOMING 83 0.502 0.493 0.504 0.481 0.650 0.678 0.667 0.666 0.45235 0.61922 42 COLORADO 84 0.514 0.542 0.488 0.432 0.649 0.674 0.670 0.659 0.36428 0.51749 43 NEW MEXI 85 0.402 0.401 0.389 0.357 0.594 0.592 0.594 0.595 0.45642 0.64957 44 ARIZONA 86 0.483 0.474 0.396 0.352 0.618 0.614 0.594 0.583 0.39206 0.60308 45 UTAH 87 0.602 0.600 0.591 0.574 0.678 0.675 0.673 0.670 0.38306 0.50723 46 NEVADA 88 0.515 0.503 0.450 0.468 0.680 0.675 0.665 0.652 0.14158 0.37821 47 WASHINGT 91 0.546 0.587 0.483 0.509 0.647 0.656 0.631 0.634 0.09374 0.45655 48 OREGON 92 0.530 0.508 0.483 0.464 0.644 0.641 0.635 0.625 0.29179 0.52664 49 CALIFORN 93 0.471 0.414 0.380 0.357 0.642 0.631 0.612 0.602 0.03310 0.08537 50 ALASKA 94 0.437 0.433 0.382 0.407 0.674 0.678 0.663 0.661 0.00000 0.07842 51 HAWAII 95 0.431 0.406 0.398 0.431 0.647 0.652 0.668 0.657 0.02167 0.27377 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 4 check on output of basic teen data Model: MODEL1 Dependent Variable: DWAGE2 Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Prob>F Model 1 63.78398 63.78398 67.009 0.0001 Error 48 45.68993 0.95187 C Total 49 109.47391 Root MSE 0.97564 R-square 0.5826 Dep Mean 0.11351 Adj R-sq 0.5739 C.V. 859.48530 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob > |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -0.011407 0.01648580 -0.692 0.4923 Intercept AFFECT2 1 0.283715 0.03465900 8.186 0.0001 fract wage $3.35-4.249, 1989 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 5 check on output of basic teen data Model: MODEL2 Dependent Variable: DWAGE2 Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Prob>F Model 2 67.50907 33.75453 37.805 0.0001 Error 47 41.96484 0.89287 C Total 49 109.47391 Root MSE 0.94492 R-square 0.6167 Dep Mean 0.11351 Adj R-sq 0.6004 C.V. 832.42034 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob > |T| Label INTERCEP 1 0.030374 0.02594916 1.171 0.2477 Intercept AFFECT2 1 0.221424 0.04535218 4.882 0.0001 fract wage $3.35-4.249, 1989 DEMP2 1 1.046779 0.51248411 2.043 0.0467 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 6 check on output of basic teen data Model: MODEL3 Dependent Variable: DWAGE2 Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Prob>F Model 3 68.81962 22.93987 25.956 0.0001 Error 46 40.65430 0.88379 C Total 49 109.47391 Root MSE 0.94010 R-square 0.6286 Dep Mean 0.11351 Adj R-sq 0.6044 C.V. 828.17690 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob > |T| Label INTERCEP 1 0.001015 0.03532402 0.029 0.9772 Intercept AFFECT2 1 0.216379 0.04531080 4.775 0.0001 fract wage $3.35-4.249, 1989 DEMP2 1 0.964692 0.51430840 1.876 0.0671 DWMEN 1 0.346850 0.28483244 1.218 0.2295 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 7 check on output of basic teen data Model: MODEL4 Dependent Variable: DTEMP2 Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Prob>F Model 1 12.63027 12.63027 21.382 0.0001 Error 48 28.35347 0.59070 C Total 49 40.98374 Root MSE 0.76857 R-square 0.3082 Dep Mean -0.05892 Adj R-sq 0.2938 C.V. -1304.33649 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob > |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -0.114513 0.01298682 -8.818 0.0001 Intercept AFFECT2 1 0.126250 0.02730291 4.624 0.0001 fract wage $3.35-4.249, 1989 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 8 check on output of basic teen data Model: MODEL5 Dependent Variable: DTEMP2 Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Prob>F Model 2 25.42867 12.71433 38.417 0.0001 Error 47 15.55507 0.33096 C Total 49 40.98374 Root MSE 0.57529 R-square 0.6205 Dep Mean -0.05892 Adj R-sq 0.6043 C.V. -976.32462 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob > |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -0.037068 0.01579852 -2.346 0.0232 Intercept AFFECT2 1 0.010790 0.02761158 0.391 0.6977 fract wage $3.35-4.249, 1989 DEMP2 1 1.940279 0.31201363 6.219 0.0001 1989-92 cross-state comparisons -- chapter 4 models 16:29 Monday, July 24, 1995 9 check on output of basic teen data Model: MODEL6 Dependent Variable: DTEMP2 Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Prob>F Model 3 25.43021 8.47674 25.070 0.0001 Error 46 15.55353 0.33812 C Total 49 40.98374 Root MSE 0.58148 R-square 0.6205 Dep Mean -0.05892 Adj R-sq 0.5957 C.V. -986.83081 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard T for H0: Variable Variable DF Estimate Error Parameter=0 Prob > |T| Label INTERCEP 1 -0.036061 0.02184899 -1.650 0.1057 Intercept AFFECT2 1 0.010963 0.02802612 0.391 0.6975 fract wage $3.35-4.249, 1989 DEMP2 1 1.943097 0.31811549 6.108 0.0001 DWMEN 1 -0.011905 0.17617758 -0.068 0.9464